Showing posts with label Russia. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Russia. Show all posts

Thursday, September 15, 2011

TRICKLE DOWN ECONOMICS, SOVIET STYLE ... STALIN'S AMERICA

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In spite of recent bailouts, favorable legislation, and regular money dumps from the Federal Reserve, we don't have socialism in America. Not even close. This is the case even if you count government safety nets, which don't cost anywhere near what we've committed or disbursed to Wall Street since 2008 (at least $13 trillion). But if you're going to make the "socialism in America" argument this is how you might want to start .... 
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In an effort to explain the logic behind market economics, in my book I tell the story of Russia's peasant economies after the October Revolution of 1917. One of the biggest problems Russia ran into was getting peasant farmers to produce. Things took a turn for the worse during Russia's Civil War (c. 1918-1922), when the nation was faced with frustrated revolutionaries and mass starvation. This was a critical moment since Russian revolutionaries wanted to sell surplus agricultural production to facilitate industrialization. But there were no surpluses.


While agriculture production increased with the introduction of the New Economic Policy in 1921, the program was abandoned by Josef Stalin and replaced with forced collectivization. Not surprisingly, agriculture production slipped, again.

To better understand why revolutionary peasants weren't producing surpluses - which were necessary to help fund industrialization - teams of anthropologists were sent to study peasants societies throughout Russia. This was a tremendous undertaking as it meant spending months, and even years, at a time in distant rural communities. But the findings were extraordinary.

PEASANT STUDIES & "UNCLE JOE"
Headed by researchers like Aleksander Chayanov, various institutes studied and learned about peasant societies throughout Russia. One key finding was that peasants would work until they had enough to feed their families, and not much beyond this point. As I point out in my book, they learned that subsistence peasant households didn't particularly care about wage or price incentives. Instead, for a variety of reasons (discussed in class), they focused primarily on the “use-value” of a good in the immediate term rather than its “exchange-value” in a market. Producing more than what they needed was viewed as “drudgery.”


Though the findings of Chayanov and others were instructive because they helped explain what was wrong with collectivization in the Russian countryside, they didn’t sit well with Stalin. He wanted to know how he could get peasants to produce. As a result, because of his own paranoia's and twisted world views, he saw the reports emerging from the countryside as an unwarranted defense of rich kulaks (productive peasant farmers). All he knew was that the revolutionary state demanded surpluses, and the peasants weren't producing.

Stalin saw traitors in his midst.


After Stalin took control of Russian agriculture the studies done by Chayanov and others were virtually ignored by the Soviet state, and many of the institutes were closed. But this was just the beginning. Repression and purges in the early 1930s were followed with large-scale disappearances of "non-revolutionaries."

Chayanov was among those branded a non-revolutionary. He was arrested, tried, and then shot on the same day in 1937 [photo below is not Chayanov].


In Stalin's world, the Russian revolution and the worker's paradise would be a success, even if he had to use the levers of the state to spin lies, send misfits to labor camps, or kill his political enemies (both real and imagined). This is where it gets interesting.

TRICKLE DOWN THEORY, SOVIET STYLE ...
While Chayanov's story is instructive for what it tells us about peasant economies (and capitalism; a topic for another day), it's also significant because of what it tells us about Russian revolutionaries and die-hard Bolsheviks like Stalin. They were so committed to their theories of socialism that they would use the state - which was supposed to wither away according to Karl Marx, mind you - to make sure that agriculture surpluses were created and transferred to the more productive industrial sector.


It was deemed unimportant that the state became increasingly repressive as it forced collectivization on peasants, suppressed living standards in the countryside, and then transferred resources from Russia's agriculture sector to industry and the city. The needs of backward peasants could be put off.

Part of the rationale for this line of thinking was that Stalin believed peasants would soon benefit from the availability of manufactured goods, agriculture equipment, and other products that would eventually reach the countryside. As Cambridge economist Ha-Joon Chang points out, this was trickle down theory, Soviet style.


I tell this story because, as Ha-Joon Chang suggests in 23 Things They Don't Tell You About Capitalism, policymakers today who claim to be die-hard capitalists and free marketeers are actively using the state - which is supposed to stay out of the marketplace, mind you - to bailout Wall Street, facilitate money dumps when markets fail, and to rewrite the rules to suit the needs of a specific class.


At the same time, by using the state to pursue union-busting trade agreements (while doing little for labor), winking at weak immigration laws (which helps suppress prices and wages), and then ignoring collapsing wage and living standards for America's middle class, America's policy makers are acting very much like Stalin's Politburo.

They're even promising that by transferring wealth to a designated productive class that the benefits will eventually reach those at the bottom. And they've been doing this for the better part of 30 years, in spite of a history of spectacular failures and budget deficits.


Like Stalin's planning authorities, today's proponents and willing recipients of bailouts, money dumps, and favorable legislation understand the importance of using the state to create and transfer wealth from one sector of the economy to another. With more than $4 trillion disbursed, and a total of 13 trillion in tax payer backed dollars committed to Wall Street's collapse, you can be sure of this.

But this is precisely the problem.

As I point out in my book (Ch. 11), by using the state to transfer wealth to achieve market results (profitability), America’s bailed out and subsidized market players are on no firmer intellectual ground than the Soviet Union's Vladimir Lenin and Joseph Stalin. Pushing for and accepting government favors, while speaking admiringly of the wonders of the market, imposes an Alice in Wonderland character on modern markets in America.

Seriously, at what point do we stop using the resources and authority of the state to prop up failed banks, wink at market busting Wall Street schemes, and continue to believe in the value of disastrous trickle down market ideology?

- Mark

Wednesday, August 25, 2010

LESSONS FROM PETER THE GREAT (for President Obama, and our pampered elite)


In 1696 Peter the Great decided he was going to turn Russia into a modern power, capable of competing with Europe's best. To do so he determined that he would need access to Europe's greatest minds and to its ports. Because feudal custom and traditions prevailed at the time turning Russia into a modern power required calling on outsiders to bring new ideas. It also meant challenging entrenched conservatives (who hated foreigners) and confronting financial elites, who not only hated the idea of paying taxes but believed they deserved special privileges in Russia.

While Peter the Greats commercial goal was to gain access to European ports and it's trade routes through the Sea of Azov ...



(... which accesses the Black Sea, the entrance point to the the Mediterranean Sea ...)



... the real goal was to modernize Russia's military, solidify Russia's southern flank (raided regularly by the Tatars), and to build it's first navy.

Building a navy and waging war meant Peter the Great would have to secure the funds that would eventually help make Russia a modern nation-state. And this is where it gets interesting.

Every group that could afford to help - the church, rich landowners, and merchants - would be forced to help Peter the Great bring the nation into the modern era. For example, while the government would provide the timber, and brought in expert shipbuilders from abroad, every great landowner, church officials/monasteries, and the merchant class were forced to pay for building and supplying sea going vessels.

Compliance was demanded by the state.

Those who failed to go along had their property confiscated. When the merchants of Moscow and other major cities balked at building 12 ships, and then petitioned the Czar to lighten their burden, Peter the Great ordered them to build two more than scheduled. National greatness would not tolerate petitions from would be lobbyists.

I bring all of this up because - like Peter the Great - our country is confronted with serious problems that threaten to drown our nation in petty provincialism (racism and xenophobia) and financial irresponsibility. Like Peter the Great we're confronted with an entrenched elite who believe their station in life grants them special privileges that absolves them from contributing their fair share to the nation.

Challenges of Modernity in America
In 2009 the American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE) issued it's annual report on America's infrastructure. In 15 categories that range from airports and bridges to schools and solid waste facilities the highest grade received was a "C+" (Solid Waste), with 5 categories receiving a "D-".  Overall our nation's infrastructure received a "D" from the ASCE. This is what it looks like when we don't do the maintenance ...



The ASCE estimates that it will take $2.2 trillion over a five year period to repair what we haven't been paying to maintain in the past. This is only the beginning.

Like in the period before Peter the Great, we've also been indulging the wishes of our wealthiest class. For reasons that can be explained by looking at people who embrace a conservative but failed ideology (trickle down), we've been steadily reducing the percentage that the rich pay ...




... and what corporate America contributes to our nation's tax base.



In the process they've become richer than they ever were, but our nation's finances have suffered. We now owe $11 trillion more (and counting) than we did in 1980. Worse, we're engaged in wars that we believe we don't have to pay for in the present. Like Peter the Great we face a dilemma.

We can continue to indulge a conservative, pampered, and increasingly clueless elite who believe custom, tradition, and xenophobia are the path to our nation's future. Or we can force them to pay their fair share as we try to pay our debts, pursue war, and rebuild our infrastructures for the 21st century.

The choice, in my view, isn't difficult.

- Mark

Thursday, August 19, 2010

THE TRIUMPH OF SOVIET-STYLE CENTRAL PLANNING ...


In "Amar Bhide on the Stalinization of Finance" Yves Smith at nakedcapitalism.com directs us to an excellent article from the Harvard Business Review ...

Bankers of the World Unite (under one model)
The article discusses the loan activities of our financial institutions. Specifically it discusses how they have evolved from emphasizing decentralized decision-making (crucial for capitalist markets to function) to an increasing dependence on lending processes that resemble the centrally-planned economy of the Soviet Union. Personal one-on-one time with local bank loan officers, who traditionally studied regional conditions and developed a personal relationship with borrowers, has been replaced with mortgage brokers, who have to take their lending cues from abstract models developed by a few rocket scientists in the biggest financial institutions (which is also discussed in The Quants).

What makes this so dangerous is that the models and the programs they spawn are principally designed to benefit the narrow interests of market players who control the keys to the financial kingdom (the use of Net Present Value models in determining who can actually get home loan modifications, which I discuss here, is an example of this).

This is a troubling development when you consider that the patron saint of capitalism, Adam Smith, argued that the consumer should be the primary concern of a market economy. Protecting consumers was at the core of his "laws of justice" principle.

According to the article, the vast majority of market players in the financial sector depend on a standardized, model-reliant, process for accepting or rejecting loan applications. So, Why does this matter, you ask? Good question.

Why It Matters ...
As Smith points shifting lending from loan officers in local branches to standardized, score-based templates developed by faceless math geeks in New York has resulted in a "considerable loss of information": face to face assessment of the borrower (does he understand what he is getting into? Does he regard the loan as a serious commitment?) and knowledge of the community (How healthy is his employer? What is the outlook for the local economy?) have been lost in the process.

More importantly, as the article notes, reduced "case-by-case scrutiny has led to the misallocation of resources in the real economy." In the recent housing bubble, for example, lenders did little due diligence and "extended mortgages to reckless borrowers" because the models kept their focus on securing loan origination fees, and bonuses, rather than on the lenders actual ability to pay.

In a few words, because the models accepted the cooked up numbers of unscrupulous mortgage brokers the system became increasingly impaired as more and more brokers could give a dam as to whether the lender actually paid. Fixing the numbers to model is what mattered.


Today, our lending institutions continue to rely less and less on Adam Smith's "invisible hand" and depend more and more on a Stalin-like approaches to lending. Unfortunately these approaches bear "a troubling resemblance in its process and outcomes to a centrally planned economy."  

The actual article, and Smith's review and commentary, may be long for those of you who are short on time. But, as usual, they're worth the effort.

- Mark

Saturday, September 26, 2009

PRESIDENT OBAMA: THE GRANDMASTER?


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Almost two years ago, when I started this blog, I posted two items tied to international relations that questioned President Bush's competence as a world leader. In a few words I argued that stable global relations require someone who understands movements over time and place, and can play like a chess player. This is especially the case when you're the President of the United States. George Bush, unfortunately, played like a checkers player, and left a legacy abroad that proved it. His actions made the U.S. - and the world - less safe.

Because of the issues surrounding Iran's nuclear program, and President Obama's remarks yesterday, I've re-posted my 2007 comments below.

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On Thursday the United States, the British and France put forward evidence to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) that Iran has secretly been building a non-civilian nuclear facility in northern Iran. Standing with President Obama when he presented the news to the world were the leaders of Britain and France. France's President Sarkozy - who is not known for such threatening statements - even went so far as to tell Iran that they need to change their program within two months, or face sanctions. As well, Britain called Iran's program part of a “serial deception of many years” that led to a rare Russian rebuke of Iran, and a milder warning from China.


These developments can not be understated.

After President Bush single-handedly undermined America's credibility abroad with aggressive unilateralism, lies, torture, and his blundering wars project, it was tough for him to get other nations to support the U.S. on important issues, like Iran's evolving nuclear program.

Now, let's keep in mind that few doubted Iran's capabilities and intentions to secure a nuclear weapons program. We even suspected - if not knew - what they were doing. The problem was that no one wanted to follow the U.S. lead on the issue. At least as long as George W. Bush was in the picture.

It appears that this is beginning to change under President Obama.

There are several reasons for this. As MSNBC's Rachel Maddow so cogently points out here, President Obama's decision to change the direction of our missile defense program in Poland - which was directed against Russia - helped convince Russia's President Medvedev to go along with the U.S. position on Iran. This was absolutely necessary, in my view, because of the missteps of the Bush administration when it came to Russia. I wrote about them here over a year ago. They're not pretty.

More importantly, President Obama's actions and decisions abroad helped convince the United Nations Security Council (the U.S., Britain, France, China, and Russia) to follow the U.S. lead in condemning Iran's program. We want to keep in mind here that Russia and France balked at supporting U.S. initiatives after eight years of being strung along, lied to, and lectured by President Bush.

Having the UN Security Council with us on this is big news. I like Rachel Maddow's observation: "If diplomacy got reported like war does, I think what we'd be reporting right now is 'Shock and Awe'." If you read my December 2007 posts below, or take a look at George W. Bush's "Russia" policies, you'll get a better understanding of why Rachel Maddow said this (and why Andrea Mitchell concurred).

- Mark

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Dissecting Bush"s Strategic Failures, Part I

By way of Kevin Drum we have Niall Ferguson explaining why the United States is not the Roman Empire, or even the British Empire ...

Less than a century ago, before World War I, the population of Britain was 46 million, barely 2.5% of humanity. And yet the British were able to govern a vast empire that encompassed an additional 375 million people, more than a fifth of the world's population. Why can't 300 million Americans control fewer than 30 million Iraqis? Three years ago, as the United States swept into Iraq, I wrote a book titled "Colossus," which offered a somber prediction, summed up in its subtitle, "The Rise and Fall of the American Empire." My argument was that the United States was unlikely to be as successful or as enduring an imperial power as its British predecessor for three reasons: its financial deficit, its attention deficit and, perhaps most urprisingly, its manpower deficit. Rather cruelly, I compared the American empire to a "strategic couch-potato ... consuming on credit, reluctant to go to the front line [and] inclined to lose interest in protracted undertakings."
Not content, Kevin Drum introduced another variable: The “Rise of the Colonials” …

[Niall Ferguson’s argument] leaves out by far the most important reason for American failure: today's colonials fight back. Britain occupied India with a tiny force because the Indians mostly let them, and on the rare occasions when they rebelled the British (like all the other European colonial powers) felt free to crush them in the most brutal manner imaginable.None of that is true today. The people of Iraq are flatly unwilling to be ruled by outsiders, they have the weaponry to fight back effectively, and the West is no longer willing to spill rivers of blood simply to show them who's boss. If those things had been true a century ago, Britain never would have had an empire in the first place, let alone been able to keep it.
I have another variable to add. Let’s call it the "Grandmaster" variable.

I've used chess as a metaphor for international relations since reading Zbigniew Brzezinski’s
The Grand Chessboard: American Primacy and its Geostrategic Imperatives. While it’s almost 10 years old, the book is still a good read and offers an understanding of strategic thinking that George Bush's foreign policy team obviously lacks. What we learn is that you can’t have rank amateurs, who think and act like they're playing checkers (with a club) when global challenges demand we think like chess players. With the power, influence, and global position of the United States the American Grand Chessboard really demands a Grandmaster. Or at least a tournament level player.

We have George W. Bush.

- Mark


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Dissecting Bush"s Strategic Failures, Part II

The chess player metaphor is even more appropriate when we include the discussion Joseph Nye, Jr. offered on U.S. power and the challenges that confront our world.

In
The Paradox of American Power Nye argues that global power is distributed in a pattern that resembles a three-dimensional chess game. On the top board level we have military power, where the United States remains supreme. On the mid-level board we have economic power, where the United States is one of several states that can significantly influence global economic developments. On the bottom level we have “transnational” issues where no one country can dominate, or hope to solve problems on its own. Here we see issues like drugs, global warming, aids, criminal activities, environmental pollution, terrorism, etc.

According to Nye the world needs to work together because “the paradox of American power at the end of this millennium is that it is too great to be challenged by any other state, yet not great enough to solve problems such as global terrorism and nuclear proliferation.”

With record budget deficits and OPEC threatening to the
dump the dollar as its reserve currency (the 2nd tier), and Bush’s failed policies around the world (the bottom tier), it's hard to disagree with Nye that you can't focus simply on the military, or first tier, level and expect to win. And now, with the U.S. military under strain, we can't be sure about the power and influence the threat of U.S. force used to bring.

Simply put, the idea that the United States can act like past empires – whether it was the British Empire or the Roman Empire – reflects a serious problem of analysis on the part of Team Bush. And it began almost immediately after 9/11, when an unnamed Bush official
told reporter Ron Suskind:

We're an empire now, and when we act, we create our own reality. And while you're studying that reality--judiciously, as you will--we'll act again, creating other new realities, which you can study too, and that's how things will sort out. We're history's actors ... and you, all of you, will be left to just study what we do.
This arrogant, insipid, child-like attitude toward the ideas of others tells us that George Bush and his neo-conservative team never believed in understanding issues. Rather, their goal has always been to wield power to shape the world in a way that reflected their stunted vision of reality.

As we have seen in Iraq, that vision was never well thought out. As we are left to “study what [they] do” you can be sure that “history’s actors” will be judged by the “realities” they created. Our problem is that we have to live through their strategic incompetence and the havoc their realities bring us today.

Again, I don't need a Grandmaster to play America's Grand Chessboard. I'd settle for a beginning level tournament player. With Bush, we're not even close.

Iran anyone?

- Mark

Friday, September 12, 2008

CARIBOU BARBIE CLUELESS ABOUT BUSH DOCTRINE

As if this needs to be said ... Sarah Palin is not ready to be vice president. After more than 6 years of the Bush Doctrine (preemptive strikes/war are OK) Sarah Palin could only offer an empty look and an incoherent thought when asked about it by Charlie Gibson. Here's the magical moment ...



Fortunately for Palin, Gibson bailed her out rather than press the issue (Why? I have no idea). Later Palin suggested that because "you can actually see Russia from land" in Alaska she has certain insights into Russian policy. What a joke. I guess that makes everyone living on the U.S.-Mexico border experts on Latin American and Mexico.

As the Baltimore Sun put it, "ABC anchorman Charles Gibson came across as a stern, no-nonsense senior professor putting a graduate student through a tough exam in the first part of his interview with Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin."

Palin failed.

And for those of you who might think otherwise. A doctrine is not a "world view." It is a specific policy explaining how you plan to conduct foreign policy. It is what you plan on doing, not an ideology. There's a difference. She should know this.

You would think she and John McCain would be embarrassed. They're not. They're republicans.

- Mark

P.S. In the full disclosure/FYI category, I first heard the "Caribou Barbie" reference from Stephanie Miller.

Tuesday, August 19, 2008

PUTIN IS JFK ... GEORGIA IS CUBA?



There's an interesting article in today's Der Speigel that takes another look at what's going on in Georgia. Long story short ... Russia is within it's right to make sure events in their "backyard" drift towards their interests. Here's a snippet:

... even Kennedy drew a distinction between first-class and second-class sovereign states. He assumed that residents of the main house ought to have something to say in the backyard, as in Cuba, for example. Putin shares the same view, in the case of Georgia, for example. In America's case we call such behavior dominant, and in Russia's case aggressive. But we mean the same thing.

... Now US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice and her president, George W. Bush, say that other laws apply today than in the 20th century. It sounds plausible, but it isn't true, as is clearly evident in the case of Cuba.

America still treats the Caribbean island, with its Stone Age communism, as a public enemy. American citizens can neither visit Cuba, a country with a gross domestic product a fraction the size of the US's, nor can they trade with it. Cuban cigars are considered contraband, and any American who smokes them is regarded as an enemy of state.
Here's the link.

- Mark

Wednesday, August 13, 2008

BUSH'S INCOMPETENCE SHINES IN GEORGIA

As if screwing up in Iraq were not enough, the Bush administration continues to demonstrate they don’t know what the hell they’re doing in the world. But let me get this out of the way first ...

Secretary of State Condaleeza Rice was/is considered an expert on Russia and the Soviet Union. What’s going on in Georgia (a former state in the USSR) should not be hard to figure out ... and could have been prevented. But just in case you’re not in tune, here’s a brief overview of Georgia’s history from the BBC.



What’s happening in Georgia is, in part, a product of larger on-going issues between George Bush’s failed positions in the region, and the administration's continued inability to see or anticipate events.

Specifically, the Bush administration has been meddling in Russian affairs, and getting in Russia’s face for the better part of six years. So when the Bush administration decided to warn Russia on Georgia, you can imagine Moscow's response. To be sure, Russia has genuine interests in Georgia, but President Bush’s actions have not helped improve conditions, or our hand, in the region.

STUPIDITY IN THE BALTICS
President Bush visited Moscow in 2005 to observe the 60th anniversary of the Allies' victory over Nazi Germany in World War II. In the process he irritated old WWII wounds in the region by bringing up a past that is better left alone. Here’s a brief review of a past he should have left alone.


The Russians believe they should be thanked for “liberating” the Baltics from the Nazis during WWII. They also feel they are being polite to the Baltic states (Lithuania, Estonia, and Latvia) for not mentioning large scale collaboration on their part with the Nazis. The Balts, however, do not feel the Russians liberated them because the Russians turned around and occupied their land and, in the process, wiping them from global maps for 50 years.

On the other side of this mess, the Baltic want to forget how eager many of them were to help Germans kill Jews, with the Riga Ghetto being one of the largest in Europe. To counter this, many Balts remind the Russians that many of their countrymen fought in the Red Army, and are not shy about reminding Russia about the Russian soldiers who defected to the Nazis (these soldiers were executed on the spot when captured by Russian troops).

At this point it should be pretty clear why it might be a good thing to “let sleeping dogs lie,” right?

Enter our President, the Idiot Prince, to make sure that all of this gets revived. Rather than simply saying he’s in Moscow to celebrate the end of WWII he wrote a letter to the three Baltic heads of state stating the end of World War II "also marked the Soviet occupation and annexation of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania and the imposition of Communism." Nice.

The letter arrived in the Baltic states right before Bush arrived in Moscow for the WWII ceremonies in Spring 2005. As you can imagine Putin was ecstatic.

But just to show that President Bush really has no idea what he’s doing, he didn’t back off. Instead Bush told a Lithuanian reporter that he confronted Mr. Putin on how he needs to work on democracy in Russia and to remind him that "the remembrances of the time of Communism [for the Baltic states] are unpleasant remembrances.”

Reminding a people of two occumpations. Digging to uncover old Nazi wounds. Insulting prospective hosts on the eve of arriving in their nation. A trifecta in dimplomatic incompetence.

To Mr. Putin’s credit, in a May 4 interview with the CBS program "60 Minutes" (which aired May 8, 2005) Mr. Putin said that America should not be lecturing him about rollbacks on democracy when "four years ago your presidential election was decided by the court." Ouch.

Score one for Putin.

STUPIDITY IN THE CAUCUSES?
OK, back to the present dispute ...

Just last month Condaleeza Rice was in Georgia telling Georgia’s president Mikhail Saakashvili one thing, but sending Russia another set of signals.

Specifically, while asking President Saakashvili (who has a law degree from Columbia University) not to antagonize the Russians by using Georgia's military force to settle the separatist movements in issue (specifically in Ossetia, Abkhazia, and Ajaria), it appears that the Bush administration had been going out of its way to, well, antagonize the Russians. They did this by: (1) sending military advisers to bolster the Georgian military, including an exercise last month with more than 1,000 American troops (aren’t they needed in Iraq?); (2) working hard to bring Georgia into NATO, while providing few assurances to Russia; (3) providing material support for the 2003 Rose Revolution, which replaced President Eduard Shevardnadze, a former communist party man, who had ruled Georgia for more than 30 years, and (4) loudly proclaiming support for Georgia’s territorial integrity at the same time Russia was making clear their concerns over Georgia’s separatist enclaves.

With these developments in the background you can imagine how the Russians felt after Condaleeza Rice provocatively told the press (and Putin) on the eve of her July 2008 visit to Georgia, “I’m going to visit a friend and I don’t expect much comment about the United States going to visit a friend.”

Score one for arrogant, child-like, hubris.

As you can imagine, after all this, Moscow was in no mood to be lectured by the Bush administration after they began bombing Georgia on “behalf” of Russians and Ossetians. It also helps to explain why the U.S. is virtually absent from the on-going cease fire dialog. Russia is in no mood to listen to President Bush.

Making matters worse, we now have John McCain trying to score cheap political points off of this disaster by attempting to make it appear that he knows what's going on ... while clumsily reading from a prepared script (no doubt prepared by the same foreign poliy aide who was a lobbyist for Georgia, and whose firm is still being paid by Georgia).



There’s more. But it doesn’t get any better. In real simple terms, President Bush will go down as an historic incompetent on many levels. The man is a fool.

- Mark